probability of teams winning the world cup!!!

kush · 29th May 2006, 10:20 AM

P(n) = λne-λ over n!

ok...

in the equation, 'n' is the number of goals scored, 'lambda' is the expected number of goals, 'e' is a natural logarithm and the exclamation mark is 'factorial', a function of 'n'. P is the probability distribution of goals scored.

but anyway, if you have a degree in stats, then you can solve this.

or you can go to http://www.dectech.org/WorldCup/PWC.html for probabilities

but any way, if you have a degree in stats then have-a-go....

sid_19840 · 29th May 2006, 11:14 AM

How exactly is it related to the World Cup?Seems like a maths lesson to me.

edgarisapimp · 29th May 2006, 02:10 PM

Ha ha ha - Spain is 90% likely to make the quarters

.
Pretty good find there (I like numbers). But do they really think The Netherlands has that good of a chance?

Kev · 29th May 2006, 03:09 PM

Sorry part of my brain just fell asleep out of boredom! If you want to know roughly how much chance your team has at the world cup, check out the odds I gave in vbookie, they came from a real betting site and they should know their stuff

ZexyZahid · 29th May 2006, 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by edgarisapimp

Ha ha ha - Spain is 90% likely to make the quarters

.
Pretty good find there (I like numbers). But do they really think The Netherlands has that good of a chance?

The Netherlands made it to the semi-finals in the past three major tournaments, excluding the World Cup 2002 where they didn't participate, and were ousted two times with penalties.

So I would say they've got a big chance to reach the semi-finals again. It depends who they counter in the way up.

I think Spain can reach the quarterfinals, but that's it then. The same with Portugal.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kev

Sorry part of my brain just fell asleep out of boredom! If you want to know roughly how much chance your team has at the world cup, check out the odds I gave in vbookie, they came from a real betting site and they should know their stuff

I would say the Czech Republic should be higher voted. Everybody knows by now how great they are and they are for a reason the number two in the world.

But like you said, that's how the betting from another site thinks about it.

kooljack9 · 7th June 2006, 07:20 PM

I think the world champions are gonna be THe South Americans> Argentina.

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29th May 2006, 10:20 AM	#1 (permalink)
kush 1st XI Cricketer Member Since: Jun 2005 National Team: India	probability of teams winning the world cup!!! P(n) = λne-λ over n! ok... in the equation, 'n' is the number of goals scored, 'lambda' is the expected number of goals, 'e' is a natural logarithm and the exclamation mark is 'factorial', a function of 'n'. P is the probability distribution of goals scored. but anyway, if you have a degree in stats, then you can solve this. or you can go to http://www.dectech.org/WorldCup/PWC.html for probabilities but any way, if you have a degree in stats then have-a-go....

29th May 2006, 11:14 AM	#2 (permalink)
sid_19840 ICC Board Member AKA: Sid Member Since: Jun 2005 Location: Kolkata,India National Team: India,England Domestic Team: Somerset,and Liverpool(In Football)	How exactly is it related to the World Cup?Seems like a maths lesson to me. __________________

29th May 2006, 02:10 PM	#3 (permalink)
edgarisapimp 1st XI Cricketer Member Since: Jan 2006 Location: Tampa, FL, USA National Team: Spain and the West Indies Domestic Team: Real Sporting de Gijón and Jamaica	Ha ha ha - Spain is 90% likely to make the quarters . Pretty good find there (I like numbers). But do they really think The Netherlands has that good of a chance? __________________

29th May 2006, 03:09 PM	#4 (permalink)
Kev ICC Chairman PC Awards 2008: Best Senior Member and Best Post Member Since: Jun 2004 Domestic Team: Kent CCC	Sorry part of my brain just fell asleep out of boredom! If you want to know roughly how much chance your team has at the world cup, check out the odds I gave in vbookie, they came from a real betting site and they should know their stuff __________________ Join me in bidding for the PCPL naming rights in the name of comedy here or join me in not caring about Droylesden here

7th June 2006, 07:20 PM	#6 (permalink)
kooljack9 2nd XI Cricketer AKA: DEFJAY Member Since: Aug 2005 Location: Germany National Team: pakistan Domestic Team: manuuuuuuu!! for life!! and madriddddddd!!	I think the world champions are gonna be THe South Americans> Argentina. __________________

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